TFM Midday Update 5-24-21

CORN

  • July corn down 3 @ 6.55 & Dec corn down 9 @ 5.37
  • Weekly grain inspections for export 1.727M mt versus 1.892M mt last week
  • Rains brought relief to Brazilian corn over weekend, but much of it is too little, too late
  • Trade looking at higher acreage number than USDA’s 91 million acres
  • Corn high exports, ethanol demand, and feed uses tightening old crop supply
  • Corn basis remains strong domestically
  • Managed money net positions: 291K long

SOYBEANS

  • July down 9 @ 15.17 & Nov down 3 @ 13.56
  • Weekly grain inspections for export 193K mt versus 308K mt last week
  • US soybean basis continues to decline
  • Argentina crushed 405K tons of soy at plants in April
  • Brazilian processors reduce purchases & prices drop in Brazil
  • Brazil soybean crop estimate raised to 137.2M by South American Ag firm
  • Managed money positions: 152K long

WHEAT

  • July wheat down 13 @ 6.61, July KC down 9 @ 6.14, July MNPLS down 19 @ 6.80
  • Weekly grain inspections for export 573K mt versus 658K mt last week
  • US wheat prices not competitive with EU/Black Sea Region
  • Russia will implement higher export taxes June 2 to help mitigate inflation food costs
  • Last week, Kansas wheat tour projected record yield of 58 bpa

CATTLE

  • June LC down 1.05 @ 116.62 & August FC up .10 @ 153.80
  • Cattle on Feed rose to 11.73M head on May 1
  • Placements onto feedlots up 27.2% to 1.821m head
  • Feeder cattle cash index for May 20; up 1.34 @ 135.2
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 119K
  • Open interest lost 2,985 for June futures & lost 248 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs down .97 @ 113.25 & June pork cutout down 1.00 @ 123.50
  • All contracts put in new highs last week, more upside expected
  • Strong cutouts should continue to provide support
  • Hog slaughter projected at 479K
  • Cash lean index for May 19; down .18 @ 111.44
  • O/I: Lost 2,776 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 41 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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