TFM Midday Update 5-28-21

The CME and Total Farm Marketing offices will be closed Monday, May 31, 2021 in observance of Memorial Day

CORN

  • July corn down 8 @ 6.56 & Dec corn down 6 @ 5.48
  • Rumors still circulate about China buying but no proof yet
  • Brazil corn still a major concern – devoid of moisture
  • US showers are moving across Midwest & plains
  • Argentina harvest 31%
  • Funds still roughly 260K long
  • O/I: Lost 9,208 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July down 9 @ 15.27 & Nov down 6 @ 13.72
  • Soymeal & oil today are adding pressure to all soy complex
  • US basis continues to drop as processors living month to month
  • Most of soybean crop should be developing well
  • Argentine harvest at 91%
  • Funds still roughly 80K long
  • O/I: Lost 3,126 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat down 9 @ 6.66, July KC down 14 @ 6.11, July MNPLS up 7 @ 7.24
  • MNPLS wheat up with drought/freeze concerns support market
  • Frost/freeze warnings for North Dakota & Minnesota through the weekend
  • Too much rain in some areas & drought to remain in plains
  • Likely USDA will lower old-crop exports by 25 mb in June report
  • EU commission raised EU crop 1.4 mmt to 126.2 mmt
  • O/I: Lost 6,656 positions in July wheat & lost 1,001 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC down .05 @ 116.30 &  August FC up .12 @ 152.97
  • Steady cash should keep futures supported
  • Packers cannot afford to risk lower bids & not receive sufficient cattle
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 26: up .22 @ 136.57
  • Open interest lost 2,156 for June futures & gained 180 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs up 1.40 @ 117.12 & June pork cutout up 1.60 @ 126.87
  • June hog futures continue to make new highs
  • China continues to purchase pork – demand staying strong
  • Hog slaughter projected at 437K
  • Cash lean index for May 25: up .30 @ 112.50
  • O/I: Lost 2,194 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 10 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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