TFM Midday Update 5-5-21

CORN

  • July corn up 3 @ 6.99 & Dec corn up 11 @ 5.91
  • Expanding drought in Brazil expected to remain next 10 days+
  • Production estimates projecting Brazil corn 100mmt-90mmt
  • US corn basis continues to firm as end users need grain
  • Cash corn over 7.00 in many locations
  • Heavy rains in S.E plains & Ohio valley – slowing field work
  • O/I: Lost 9,220 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July up 5 @ 15.44 & Nov up 13 @ 13.76
  • Surging Veg oil values continue to support entire soy complex
  • Demand continues to be strong from China
  • Argentina rumor is that low river levels slowed exports increasing costs
  • US soybean planting at 24% – near record high pace
  • Old crop supplies still tight – demand rationing still needs to occur
  • O/I: Lost 4,971 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat up 4 @ 7.30, July KC up 4 @ 6.86, July MNPLS up 5 @ 7.64
  • Choppy trade day today but up for now
  • Winter wheat conditions drop to 48% good/excellent
  • Spring wheat planting rose to 49%
  • Dakotas continues to struggle with extreme drought
  • Some scattered rains expected in Eastern OK, KS, and CO
  • O/I: Gained 89 positions in July wheat & gained 1,909 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC up .75 @ 114.30 & August FC up .60 @ 143.77
  • Cattle weight declined – means cattle are being pulled forward
  • Futures are oversold – today could be beginning of correction
  • Light cash trade seen 118-119
  • Cash index for May 3; up .13 @ 132.76
  • Open interest lost 6,385 for June futures & gained 197 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs up .75 @ 114.30 & June Pork Cutout up .60 @ 119.75
  • New highs every day – strong demand and tight supplies
  • Packers continues to be aggressive – where is consumer resistance?
  • Cash lean index for May 3; up .27 @ 107.37
  • O/I: Lost 2,702 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 3 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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