TFM Midday Update 5-7-21

CORN

  • July Corn up 7 @ 7.26 & Dec corn up 2 @ 6.27
  • Dec corn continues to rally to new contract highs
  • Forecast remains hot/dry for Brazil corn
  • Will USDA lower Brazil crop below 90 mmt from 109 mmt?
  • US – heavy rains for much of Corn Belt
  • Argentina corn harvest 23% complete – 5-year average 32%
  • O/I: Gained 2,228 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July up 12 @ 15.82 & Nov up 15 @ 14.24
  • Nov sets new contract high of 14.29
  • World veg oil markets continue to surge pushing futures higher
  • Stout demand & issues in EU rapeseed area add support
  • Cash soy bids above $16 as buyers desperate to find soybeans
  • Argentine harvest at 53% complete
  • O/I: Lost 1,446 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat up 2 @ 7.56, July KC up 6 @ 7.24, July MNPLS up 5 @ 7.84
  • Paris milling wheat futures are up again for 4th day in a row
  • French soft wheat conditions still at 81% good/excellent
  • Drought in US Plains continues to be the big story in wheat
  • Russian wheat production forecast lower to 79 mmt
  • O/I: Gained 24 positions in July wheat & lost 577 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC up 1.35 @ 116.82 & August FC up 2.85 @ 146.25
  • Packers need cattle may force them to increase bids next week
  • FC up today despite corn moving higher
  • Asking prices around $119
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 115K
  • Cash index for May 5; down 0.99 @ 131.56
  • Open interest lost 4,486 for June futures & lost 241 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs down 1.30 @ 113.17 & June Pork Cutout down 1.02 @ 119.00
  • End of the week profit-taking happening today
  • Tightening supplies will keep packers searching and bidding aggressively
  • Hog slaughter projected at 474K
  • Cash lean index for May 4; up 0.52 @ 107.89
  • O/I: Lost 3,778 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 10 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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