TFM Midday Update 6-16-21

CORN

  • July  up  14 @ 6.82 & Dec up 5 @ 5.79
  • Weather map is dry for central US with high temps for most of Corn Belt
  • Ethanol production expected to be lower than last week at 1.06m b/d
  • Heavy rains will bring moisture to eastern Corn Belt
  • In Brazil, 2nd corn crop still in serious trouble
  • US temps expected to become more moderate by Saturday with chances of rains
  • O/I: Lost 33,550 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July down 5 @ 14.60 & Nov down 8 @ 13.64
  • Veg oil sector pressuring soybeans today
  • NOPA May crush below most estimates at 163.52
  • EPA has no published blending requirements for 2021-22
  • USDA acreage & grain stocks on June 30th will be big directive for prices
  • US needs at least 90 million acres of soybeans planted to meet demand
  • O/I: Lost 7,831 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat up 6 @ 6.67, July KC up 3 @ 6.16, July MNPLS up 18 @ 7.66
  • Wheat up on hot temps in plains and rise in corn today
  • Kansas expected to see 100 degree plus weather for next 5 days
  • Not much rain projected for spring wheat areas – Montana key area of concern
  • Spring wheat areas in Russia remain dry and expected to be hot over 6-10 day outlook
  • O/I: Lost 4,507 positions in July wheat & lost 7,916 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • Aug LC up 1.50 @ 125.40 &  August FC up .65 @ 157.47
  • New contract highs posted today
  • Strong cash will provide solid support – lower grains adding support
  • Light cattle trade in the south at $120-$122
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for June 14: up .61 @ 140.22
  • Open interest lost 598 for Aug LC & lost 254 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • July hogs down 3.00 @ 115.50 & July pork cutout down 3.60 @ 123.32
  • A jump in cash & tight supplies may make this decline in prices temporary
  • Substantial price weakness of cutouts is a bearish sign
  • Hog slaughter projected at 485K
  • Cash lean index for June 11: up 1.05 @ 121.89
  • O/I: Lost 2,328 for July hogs & July pork cutout lost 1 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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