TFM Midday Update 7-17-20

CORN

  • September up 1-3/4 @ 3.32-1/4, December up 1-1/2 @ 3.39, March up 1-3/4 @ 3.49-1/2
  • Corn trading firmer ahead of a hot forecast in the midst of pollination
  • Rumors are China made another large buy to corn
  • Dec corn traded as high as 3.41-1/4 and as low as 3.37-1/2
  • Current support/resistance levels for Dec corn 3.30 – 3.44
  • Expected above trend-line yields continue to keep prices capped
  • Funds bought 15,000 contracts yesterday

SOYBEANS

  • August up 3-1/4 @ 8.96-3/4, September up 2-3/4 @ 8.91, November up 2-1/4 @ 8.93-1/2
  • Another new sale of new crop beans announced 126,000 mt
  • Hot and dry forecast predicted for the weekend, however rain is expected next week
  • November soybeans traded as high as 8.98-1/4 and as low as 8.93-1/4
  • Current support/resistance levels for Nov soybeans 8.85 – 9.11
  • November is still well above moving averages, but still chasing the 200 moving day of 9.10-3/4
  • Funds bought about 7,000 contracts yesterday

WHEAT

  • Dec CHI up 1/4  @ 5.41, Dec KC up 2 @ 4.62, Dec MPLS down 1 @ 5.28-1/4
  • U.S. dollar down currently trading at 95.99 – near bottom of trade range
  • Hot & dry weather expected – little to no concern of damaging crops
  • Harvest expected to continue throughout the weekend for HRW
  • Dec wheat traded as high as 5.45-1/2 and as low as 5.36-1/2
  • Current support/resistance levels for Dec Chi wheat 5.32 – 5.55
  • Dec Chi consistently struggling to break above 200 moving day average and stay there
  • Funds net sellers of about 12,000 of SRW wheat

CATTLE

  • August lives down .17 @ 103.10, October lives up .22 @ 106.82, December lives up 0.37 @ 110.47
  • August feeders down .20 @ 142.40, September feeders up .07 @ 142.82
  • Beef export sales at 27,800
  • Beef values at lowest levels since December of 2017
  • Packers have renewed some of their bids in the North but at steady prices
  • Feeder bids are at 157 and asking prices are 158-160
  • October lives tested their 10-day moving average support and has bounced nicely
  • September feeders broke above 200 trading average today of 141.56

HOGS

  • August down .87 @ 52.77, October down 0.50 @ 51.32
  • Pork export sales at 38,5000
  • August hogs are fighting to break above resistance areas
  • Slaughter running sharply ahead of the same week last year
  • August futures are quickly approaching 50-day moving average of 53.96
  • Trend is higher

Author

Bryan Doherty

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