TFM Midday Update 7-21-2021

CORN

  • Sept up 1 @ 5.72 & Dec up 1 @ 5.66
  • Ethanol production for last week averaged 1.028M brls per day – down 1.25% from last wk
  • China corn price continues to drop – affects US export demand
  • Bipartisan US bill aims to eliminate corn ethanol volume mandate
  • Dec corn still unable to fill gap at 5.73 1/2
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/20 up 627 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Aug down 7 @ 14.36 & Nov down 4 @ 13.84
  • Choppy trade in overnight – bean & canola futures are weaker today
  • Two weeks of above-normal temps expected until August
  • Northern plains still under drought – 22% of US soybeans are grown there
  • Export business has slowed but US almost on par with Brazil soy prices
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/20 up 680 contracts

WHEAT

  • Sept wheat up 5 @ 7.06, Sept KC up 6 @ 6.66, Sept MNPLS down 18 @ 8.97
  • Profit taking seen in MNPLS wheat as minimal rains fall
  • Wheat trying to price itself out of feed rations
  • KC wheat rallying as it is believed producers will swap from spring to red winter
  • Rising world wheat prices in EU & Black Sea lend support
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/20 up 3,558 contracts SRW

CATTLE

  • Aug LC up .10 @ 119.87  &  Aug FC up .72 @ 156.20
  • Lighter cattle weights indicate feedlots are current w/marketing
  • No cash trade yet as packers are resisting feedlot asking prices
  • Boxed beef prices refuse to stabilize – down 1.61 yesterday
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for July 19: up .42 @ 150.90

HOGS

  • Aug hogs up .87 @ 105.87 @ 104.62 & Aug pork cutout up 1.57 @ 115.30
  • Strong cash yesterday – up 3.60, supportive for futures
  • Packers expected to stay aggressive due to demand
  • Hog slaughter projected at 466K
  • Cash lean index for July 16: up .37 @ 112.26

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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