TFM Midday Update 8-11-21

CORN

  • Sept up 7 @ 5.57 & Dec up 5 @ 5.58
  • Corn holding 100-day moving average of 5.45
  • Not much rain on today’s weather map
  • Analysts expect USDA to lower corn yield
  • 7-day outlook – best chances for rain in northern IL & OH
  • Day 2 of DTN tour – KS yield at 147, MO yield 171.
  • China’s internal corn price still over $10.00 a bu

SOYBEANS

  • Sept up 4 @ 13.53 & Nov up 5 @ 13.41
  • Soybean oil helping to support futures today
  • Daily sales of 132,000 mt to China
  • Price of Brazilian soybeans, indicative that China has bought most of their supply
  • DTN crop tour estimates KS yield at 43, MO yield at 50.
  • Analysts expect USDA to lower US soybean yield tomorrow
  • Chance for rain in western soybean states next week

WHEAT

  • Sept wheat down 3 @ 7.23, Sept KC down 6 @ 7.08, Sept MNPLS down 7 @ 9.08
  • Trade relatively quiet ahead of tomorrow’s report
  • Analysts expect USDA to lower estimate of US wheat production & global
  • Winter wheat prices have taken their cues from weather challenges in EU & Russia
  • US western Plains remains dry for the next week
  • Rains in northern Plains next week will help white wheat planting

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down .42 @ 127.67 & Sept FC down .77 @ 162.27
  • Weak cutouts continue to keep pressure on futures
  • October futures continue to show severe discount to cash
  • Concerning that pork demand not improving with beef prices higher
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for Aug 9: up .03 @ 156.33

HOGS

  • Oct hogs up .30 @ 84.17 & Oct pork cutout up .30 @ 98.20
  • Weakness in hogs seems to be emotion based, not fundamental
  • Oct hogs have price gap at 89.97 that needs to be filled
  • Weaker trend in cutouts has trumped tighter supplies for now
  • Hog slaughter projected at 475K
  • Cash lean index for Aug 9: down .44 @ 110.77

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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