TFM Midday Update 8-13-21

CORN

  • Sep up 2 @ 5.69 @ Dec up 2 @ 5.75
  • Light chance of moderate rain in western Corn Belt
  • Day 4 of DTN yield tour – IL yield at 203.5, IN at 190, OH at 187
  • Coronavirus delta variant is a concern for demand
  • China’s internal corn prices still above $10
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/12, up 20,136 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Sep up 15 @ 13.62 & Nov up 16 @ 13.57
  • USDA old crop ending stocks jumped from 135 mb to 160 mb
  • Uncertainty around final ending stocks number until September 30th report
  • August soybeans expire today
  • Export sales 6 days in a row – today 326K mt to unknown & 126K mt to China
  • DTN Yield Tour – IL yield at 61, IN at 58, and OH at 57
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/12, down 592 contracts

WHEAT

  • Sep wheat up 15 @ 7.69, Sep KC up 9 @ 7.48, Sep MNPLS up 17 @ 9.50
  • KC wheat trading new contract highs
  • USDA lowered wheat stocks from 665 mb to 627 – lowest in 8 years
  • World ending stocks went from 291.68 mmt to 279.06 mmt – lowest in 5 years
  • Record crop still projected but now lowered to 776.91 mmt
  • Rains expected in Montana but enough to slow harvest
  • USDA’s ending stocks for HRS is lowest in 14 years
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/12, up 9,454 SRW

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down 0.35 @ 128.15 & Sep FC down 0.67 @ 162.87
  • Boxed beef prices are up over $20 so far this week
  • Cash trade has been mostly steady in the south at $121
  • Cattle able to hold support despite rally in grains
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • Feeder Cattle Cash Index for Aug 10, down 0.14 @ 156.19

HOGS

  • Oct hogs down 1.05 @ 85.42 & Oct pork cutout down 0.52 @ 99.55
  • Yesterday’s weak exports putting pressure on futures
  • Higher cash yesterday may indicate packers need to increase buying
  • Traders so far have been buying the break
  • Hog slaughter projected at 475K
  • Cash Lean Index for Aug 11, down 0.26 @ 110.19

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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