TFM Midday Update 8-31-2021

CORN

  • Dec down 16 @ 5.27
  • US corn 60% good/excellent – unchanged
  • US corn dented 59% & corn maturity at 9%
  • Corn used in ethanol production expected to be up 448.8 m bu
  • Ethanol lobby urges EPA to expand E15 to curb Ida price spikes to fuel
  • Trade awaiting Sept 10th USDA report – new yield numbers will be released
  • Demand expected to stay strong but China staying quiet for now
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 8/30: down 17.798 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 17 @ 12.86
  • US soybeans 56% good/excellent – unchanged
  • Soybean dropping leaves 9%
  • Analysts forecast US July crush numbers at 165.2m bu
  • Harvest concerns seem to be wavering due to Ida, adding pressure to market
  • Soybean exports remain aggressive – China still aggressive
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 8/30: down 4,998 contracts

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat down 6 @ 7.17,  Dec KC down 2 @ 7.10, Dec MNPLS down 7 @ 9.02
  • Wheat being drug down by Ida concerns & fall in corn & soy
  • US spring wheat harvest at 88% – 66% a year ago
  • Canada reports lowest wheat production in 14 years – 22.9 mmt
  • Russian yields down from last year – 3.51 tons/hectare last year and current is 3.03
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 8/30: down 4,664 contracts for SRW

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down 1.17 @ 127.15 & Oct FC down 1.02 @ 167.90
  • August live cattle expire today
  • Cattle supplies expected to tighten in the long-term
  • Cattle have more than eliminated gains from Cattle on Feed
  • Choice cuts fell 2.56 & select down 2.97
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • CME feeder cattle Index for Aug. 27: up .23 @ 159.56

HOGS

  • Oct hogs down 1.47 @ 88.67 & Oct pork cutout down 1.47 @ 102.00
  • Lower cash & falling cutouts do not bode well for futures
  • Prices may rebound as trade looks beyond holiday
  • Hog slaughter projected at 476K
  • CME lean hog index for Aug 27: down .13 @ 103.49

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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