TFM Midday Update 9-21-20

CORN

  • December down 0.8 1/4 @ 3.70, March down 0.8 1/4 @ 3.3.79, May down 0.8 1/4 @ 3.84
  • Good weather may be encouraging farmer selling
  • Export Inspections reported 755K mt for this week, down from last
  • China still number 1 buyer for corn
  • Pushing into harvest, corn could see a set-back
  • Gap left to be filled on Dec corn @ 3.48-3.45

SOYBEANS

  • November down 0.1825 @ 10.2525, January down 0.1775 @ 10.30, March up 0.12 @ 10.18
  • Weather remains friendly for harvest
  • Planted Progress report today may indicate harvest ahead of schedule
  • Inspections report 1.310M mt down from last week
  • China still #1 buyer of soybeans, 132K mmt sold to China this a.m.
  • Seasonal trends indicate soybeans may pull back
  • Technically still very over bought

WHEAT

  • December CHI down 0.1575 @ 5.5925, December KC down .1225 @ 4.92, December MPLS down 0.1225 @ 5.3925
  • USDA Grain Inspections 469.939 mmt down from last week’s
  • Favorable weather pushes winter wheat planting along
  • Drought expected to expand, threat to HRW crop
  • US dollar is higher @ 93.76
  • Corn & soybeans put pressure on all wheat markets

CATTLE

  • October lives down 1.00 @ 106.35, December lives down 1.77 @ 110.07
  • October feeders down 1.35 @ 141.07, November feeders down 1.55 @ 140.97
  • Carcass weights are increasing and slaughter counts are picking up as well
  • Cash cattle markets have continued to firm
  • Today’s move lower, likely profit taking from last week’s gains
  • October feeders are couldn’t break above 50-day moving average last week, trending closer to 200 moving day average at 140.00

HOGS

  • October down 0.20 @ 66.32, December down 0.80 @ 62.72, February down 0.47 @ 68.07
  • Cash Index is up 1.42 @ 67.84
  • Firm gains in pork cutout values
  • Cash hog values lower last Friday
  • Bans on German pork products will likely boost US exports
  • Hog futures are overbought technically
  • Tight supplies still expected for 2021

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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