TFM Midday Update 9-21-2021

CORN

  • Dec down 8 @ 5.14
  • USDA raised the corn crop rating 1% to 59% good to excellent
  • Illinois corn crop rating jumped up 12%
  • Export inspections continue to be low because of damage at the Gulf – some talk that more elevators might be up and running by October 1st
  • 93% of the corn crop is denting vs 89% average
  • 57% is rated mature vs 47% average
  • 10% of the corn crop is harvested vs 9% average

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 3 @ 12.65
  • USDA raised the soybean crop rating 1% to 58% good to excellent
  • Illinois soybean crop rating jumped up 14%
  • China is on holiday – we’ll see if they start buying US soybeans once they are back from holiday
  • 58% of the soybean crop is dropping leaves vs 48% average
  • 6% of the soybean crop is harvested vs 6% average

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat down 13 @ 6.88, Dec KC down 12 @ 6.88, Dec MNPLS down 8 @ 8.86
  • Wheat plantings are 21% done vs 12% last week
  • Winter wheat areas in southern Russia have been dry for planting but have chances for rain this week
  • Total inspections are at 283.4mb (down 11% from a year ago)
  • Today’s weather map shows rains in the eastern Midwest and southern Plains – areas where SRW wheat will be planted

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down 0.15@ 122.625 & Oct FC up 0.225 @ 156.90
  • Feeder cattle might be developing a sideways trading range
  • Next cattle on feed report comes out Friday
  • Boxed beef prices finally showed some gains
  • Cattle futures were able to hold yesterday despite losses in other markets
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120k
  • Choice cuts up 1.19 & select up 1.00
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 9/20: down 0.85 @ 153.75

HOGS

  • Oct hogs down 0.45 @ 84.525 & Oct pork cutout down 0.625 @ 100.500
  • Hogs could not find support yesterday
  • China’s imports of pork have remained above last year
  • Mexico pork imports have increased significantly
  • Hog slaughter projected at 463K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 9/20: down 0.22 @ 94.04

Author

Brandon Doherty

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