TFM Midday Update 9-25-20

CORN

  • December down 4 ¾ @ 3.63 ¾
  • Basis has started to slide toward harvest levels in many areas
  • Corn export wire quiet again today
  • Ethanol margins are steady
  • 6-10 day forecast, U.S. western Corn Belt will experience best harvest weather
  • Funds net sold 17,000 contracts & Open Interest down 800
  • Dec corn support 3.60 – resistance 3.71

SOYBEANS

  • November up 6 @ 10.06
  • Market sentiment is China may be about done buying – no sales today/yesterday
  • Argentine farmer selling slow with Brazil heavily sold ahead
  • Frost/freezes may occur in a part of the Midwest next week
  • Funds sellers of 13,000 contracts & Open Interest down 5,300 contracts
  • Nov soybeans support $9.90 – resistance $10.15

WHEAT

  • December CHI down 4 1/2 @ 5.45 1/4, KC Dec down 7 1/4 @ 4.75 3/4 MNPLS Dec down 4 @ 5.30 3/4
  • Dollar up today and profit taking putting pressure on market today
  • Weekend rains in Ukraine however Russia remains dry
  • Winter wheat planting will advance along with some summer crop harvesting
  • 6-10 day forecast, U.S. HRW wheat production areas remain dry & warm
  • Funds net buyers of 1,000 contracts of SRW Wheat & Open Interest down 2300 contracts
  • Dec Chi wheat support 5.43 – resistance 5.57 & DEC KC wheat support 4.77 — resistance 4.91 & Dec MNPLS support 5.29 – resistance 5.38

CATTLE

  • October Live Cattle up .05 @ 108.07 & October Feeders down .57 @ 141.70
  • Highest weight since Nov 2015 suggest cattle are backed-up
  • Focus on increased cash cattle trade & recent gains in boxed beef
  • Increased cattle numbers from a year-ago levels are expected in today’s report
  • Expectation that FC placements during Aug may be higher than projections
  • Firming support in FC trade feeding small gains in LC market today
  • Open Interest gained 1,619 positions yesterday in LC & added 321 positions in FC
  • Cattle on Feed report, today @ 2:00 p.m. CT

HOGS

  • October up 1.60 @ 71.07
  • Long term bearish forces but ash news is supportive
  • Hogs up today as traders adjust positions following increased inventory levels
  • Hog numbers 1% above year-ago levels & same for market hogs
  • Cash hog bids expected to $1low to $2 per cwt higher
  • Open Interest decreased123 positions yesterday

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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