TFM Midday Update 9-4-20

The CME and Total Farm Marketing offices will be closed Monday, September 7, 2020, in observance of Labor Day

CORN

  • September up 0.0025 @ 3.4475, December up 0.035 @ 3.5725, March up 0.03 @ 3.6775
  • China has seen typhoon rains of up to 9 inches in growing areas
  • China sold 1.34 of 4mmt offered in a state auction this week
  • China has sold 56.8mmt (2.235mbu) of sorn in state auctions since May 28
  • Dec futures have held the 10-day moving average support level four sessions in a row this week, including today
  • Stochastics gave a sell signal crossover yesterday

SOYBEANS

  • September up 0.0125 @ 9.70, November up 0.0125 @ 9.6725, January up 0.005 @ 9.7275
  • Talk of cold weather in the US next week and developing La Nina conditions in South America
  • Talk that China bought 480,000 tonnes of beans from the US on Wednesday in addition to the sales yesterday of 132,000 tonnes to China and 318,000 tonnes to Unknown
  • November futures are trading at their highest levels today since January 15 after early weakness
  • Stochastics are sharply overbought

WHEAT

  • December CHI down 0.05 @ 5.4825, December KC down 0.0325 @ 4.7225, December MPLS down 0.025 @ 5.4475
  • Argentina growing areas got beneficial rains yesterday, Australia growing areas have rains in the forecast for next week
  • Russian wheat is still winning most of the international tender business
  • US dollar is stabilizing
  • CHI and KC futures are testing and holding the 10-day moving average support level
  • MPLS futures look weaker, trading below the recent consolidation range

CATTLE

  • October lives down 0.32 @ 103.60, December lives down 0.22 @ 107.60, February down 0.17 @ 111.57
  • September feeders down 0.57 @ 137.02, October feeders down 0.47 @ 137.85
  • Cash trade has been 1.00-2.00 lower so far this week
  • Average weights are running ~18 lbs above the average weight for this week
  • Sluggish export sales pace
  • October lives are extending the recent downtrend after a brief attempt at stabilizing early in the session

HOGS

  • October up 0.25 @ 59.50, December down 0.02 @ 57.95, February up 0.22 @ 63.05
  • Producers are very current with marketings
  • Strong export sales this week
  • Huge surge in pork values yesterday to the highest level since June 1
  • October hogs tested and failed to break through the 200-day moving average resistance level earlier this morning
  • Stochastics are overbought

Author

Bryan Doherty

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