TFM Morning Update 06-09-2025

CORN

Corn is trading slightly lower this morning in relatively quiet trade following four consecutively higher closes. Weather forecasts are wet over the next week before they are expected to turn drier this summer.
This Thursday, the USDA will release its WASDE report, and early estimates see corn production slightly lower from last month but relatively unchanged. Ending stocks are expected to fall slightly to 1.789 bb.
Friday’s CFTC report saw funds sell a whopping 53,283 contracts of corn which left them with a net short position of 154,043 contracts.

Soybeans are mixed this morning with the July contract trading higher while deferred contracts are lower. Today would be a fifth consecutive higher close if momentum improves. Soybean meal is trading lower while soybean oil is higher.
Today, trade officials from the US and China are meeting in London to discuss the trade dispute. After last week’s call between Trump and Xi that was described as productive, things seem to be moving in a positive direction.
Friday’s CFTC report saw funds as sellers of soybeans by 28,096 contracts which left them with a long position of 8,601 contracts. They sold 21,998 contracts of oil and 2,932 contracts of meal.

All three wheat classes are trading lower this morning as funds continue to pile into their massive short position. Global weather and escalations between Ukraine and Russia remain bullish fundamentally.
Last week, Russia retaliated on Ukraine for the attack that wiped out a large portion of Russia’s air force. This retaliation is causing fears that crucial Black Sea grain exporting infrastructure will be damaged which would be friendly for prices.
Friday’s CFTC report saw funds as buyers of Chicago wheat by 654 contracts leaving them short 100,572 contracts. They bought back 1,333 contracts of KC wheat which left them short 78,028 contracts.

Amanda Brill