TFM Midday Update 1-18-2023

Provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc.

CORN

  • Mar corn up 1 @ 6.86
  • Corn inspections were 30.5 mb, with total 22/23 inspections now at 424 mb
  • Stock market was lower yesterday on disappointing Goldman Sachs earnings
  • Parts of Argentina are getting about ½ inch of rain but more is needed
  • Ukraine is offering corn for export at a dollar below the US
  • Yesterday March corn posted the highest close in 2 months
  • March corn on China’s Dalian exchange is around the equivalent of $10.87 per bushel

SOYBEANS

  • Mar soybeans down 9 @ 15.31
  • Soybean inspections were 76.2 mb, with total 22/23 inspections now at 1,182 mb
  • Brazil weather looks to turn a little drier in northern and central areas which should help with harvest there
  • The market is still concerned about demand (especially from China)
  • December NOPA crush was lower than expected at 177.5 mb (184 mb expected)
  • March soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange are around the equivalent of $20.15 per bushel

 

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WHEAT

  • Mar Chi wheat up 1 @ 7.53, Mar KC up 1 @ 8.57, & Mar MNPLS up 1 @ 9.17
  • Wheat inspections were at 11.8 mb, with total 22/23 inspections now at 456 mb
  • There is snow in Nebraska and rain in Kansas, Oklahoma, and Missouri
  • The southern plains may receive more moisture this weekend
  • Yesterday Paris milling wheat futures hit the lowest level since March
  • Algeria’s purchase of 570-600,000 mt of wheat is likely to be sourced (mostly) from Russia

CATTLE

  • Feb LC UNCH @ 157.000 & Mar FC up 0.225 @ 181.525
  • Cattle closed lower in all contracts, in part due to the effect of lower cash
  • Cash may trade lower again this week
  • Higher corn prices may lead to feedlots holding out for steady cash
  • Packers have some contracted ahead for this week and may be less aggressive
  • Cattle on Feed report will be released on Friday
  • Choice cuts down 0.77 and select down 2.02
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 117K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 1/17: down 0.98 @ 181.05

HOGS

  • Feb hogs down 0.925 @ 77.925 & Feb pork cutout down 1.400 @ 85.200
  • The weaker trend in cutouts continues with a loss of 3.15 yesterday
  • February futures remain at a premium to the index
  • Hog futures are at or near oversold levels
  • National Direct Afternoon report up 0.22
  • Hog slaughter projected at 472K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 1/18: down 0.16 @ 74.18

Author

Brandon Doherty

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